Caio Bittencourt vs Ivan Erslan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-11-0Record15-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
75"Reach72"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Roxo Strike TeamTeamAmerican Top Team Zagreb· 1614 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Caio BittencourtIvan Erslan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ivan Erslan60%
Caio Bittencourt 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Ivan Erslan a 60% favorite over Caio Bittencourt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1589), separated by just 9 points.
Caio Bittencourt finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ivan Erslan 73%.
Caio Bittencourt carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.