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Combat Edge Intelligence

Caio Bittencourt vs Kyle Kingsbury

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-11-0Record11-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
75"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Roxo Strike TeamTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1639 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Caio BittencourtNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Kyle KingsburyNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.97
Not available
Strike accuracy
41%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.81
Not available
Strike defense
51%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.64
Not available
Takedown accuracy
42%
Not available
Takedown defense
52%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Caio BittencourtKyle Kingsbury
155016001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (78%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
4 (22%)
Submission
2 (18%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Caio Bittencourt54%
Kyle Kingsbury 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Caio Bittencourt a 54% favorite over Kyle Kingsbury in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kyle Kingsbury's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1587), separated by just 1 points.

Kyle Kingsbury enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Caio Bittencourt finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Kingsbury 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.