Caio Bittencourt vs Roger Hollett
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-11-0Record13-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'10"
75"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Roxo Strike TeamTeamTitans MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Caio BittencourtRoger Hollett
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Caio Bittencourt69%
Roger Hollett 31%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Caio Bittencourt a 69% favorite over Roger Hollett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roger Hollett's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1588), separated by just 2 points.
Roger Hollett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Caio Bittencourt finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Roger Hollett 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.