AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Caio Bittencourt vs Victor Valimaki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-11-0Record18-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight233 lbs
Roxo Strike TeamTeamComplete Fitness and Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Caio BittencourtNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Victor ValimakiNow 1585
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.94
Not available
Strike accuracy
30%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
Not available
Strike defense
68%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.90
Not available
Takedown accuracy
14%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Caio BittencourtVictor Valimaki
15501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (78%)
KO/TKO
7 (39%)
4 (22%)
Submission
6 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Caio Bittencourt59%
Victor Valimaki 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Caio Bittencourt a 59% favorite over Victor Valimaki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1585), separated by just 1 points.

Victor Valimaki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Caio Bittencourt finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Victor Valimaki 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.