Caio Borralho vs Gadzhi Omargadzhiev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record14-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75"Reach71"
185 lbsWeight171 lbs
The Fighting Nerds· 1704 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCSKA Moscow
What's at stake
Caio Borralho is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Gadzhi Omargadzhiev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1805
If they lose-22→ 1773
If they win+22→ 1686
If they lose-10→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Caio BorralhoGadzhi Omargadzhiev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Caio Borralho83%
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev 17%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Caio Borralho a 83% favorite over Gadzhi Omargadzhiev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Caio Borralho holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1664, a 131-point edge.
Caio Borralho finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Gadzhi Omargadzhiev 86%.
Caio Borralho carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.