Combat Edge Intelligence

Caio Borralho vs Gadzhi Omargadzhiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-2-0Record14-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75"Reach71"
185 lbsWeight171 lbs
The Fighting NerdsTeamCSKA Moscow

What's at stake

Caio Borralho is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Gadzhi Omargadzhiev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Caio BorralhoNow 1789
If they win+10→ 1799
If they lose-22→ 1767
Gadzhi OmargadzhievNow 1662
If they win+22→ 1684
If they lose-10→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.44
Sig. strikes / min
1.80
56%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.20
60%
Strike defense
40%
1.28
Takedown avg.
1.35
48%
Takedown accuracy
30%
77%
Takedown defense
60%
0.43
Submission avg.
0.45

Trajectory

Caio BorralhoGadzhi Omargadzhiev
165017001750180020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
4 (22%)
Submission
3 (21%)
9 (50%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Caio Borralho87%
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev 13%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Caio Borralho a 87% favorite over Gadzhi Omargadzhiev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Caio Borralho holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1789 to 1662, a 127-point edge.

Caio Borralho finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Gadzhi Omargadzhiev 86%.

Caio Borralho carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.