Combat Edge Intelligence

Caio Borralho vs Georges St-Pierre

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-2-0Record26-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'10"
75"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
The Fighting NerdsTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Caio BorralhoNow 1789
If they win+16→ 1805
If they lose-16→ 1773
Georges St-PierreNow 1795
If they win+12→ 1807
If they lose-12→ 1783

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1742 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.44
Sig. strikes / min
3.78
56%
Strike accuracy
54%
2.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.40
60%
Strike defense
73%
1.28
Takedown avg.
4.16
48%
Takedown accuracy
74%
77%
Takedown defense
84%
0.43
Submission avg.
1.10

Trajectory

Caio BorralhoGeorges St-Pierre
17501800201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
8 (31%)
4 (22%)
Submission
6 (23%)
9 (50%)
Decision
12 (46%)

Combat Edge model read

Caio Borralho64%
Georges St-Pierre 36%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Caio Borralho a 64% favorite over Georges St-Pierre in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Georges St-Pierre's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1789 vs 1795), separated by just 6 points.

Georges St-Pierre enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Caio Borralho finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Georges St-Pierre 54%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.