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Combat Edge Intelligence

Caio Borralho vs Jeremy Horn

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Jeremy Horn
us

Jeremy Horn

“Gumby”

92-22-5MiddleweightEC

1801Great

Tale of the tape

18-2-0Record92-22-5
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
The Fighting Nerds· 1704 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamJeremy Horn's Elite Performance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Caio BorralhoNow 1795
If they win+16→ 1811
If they lose-16→ 1779
Jeremy HornNow 1801
If they win+12→ 1813
If they lose-12→ 1789

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.47
Sig. strikes / min
1.34
56%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.87
60%
Strike defense
55%
1.25
Takedown avg.
0.45
4%
Takedown accuracy
13%
76%
Takedown defense
30%
0.39
Submission avg.
1.56

Trajectory

Caio BorralhoJeremy Horn
17501800202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
26 (28%)
4 (22%)
Submission
54 (59%)
9 (50%)
Decision
12 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Caio Borralho70%
Jeremy Horn 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Caio Borralho a 70% favorite over Jeremy Horn in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeremy Horn's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1795 vs 1801), separated by just 6 points.

Caio Borralho finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Horn 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.