Caio Borralho vs Jeremy Horn
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record92-22-5
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
The Fighting NerdsTeamJeremy Horn's Elite Performance
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1806
If they lose-15→ 1774
If they win+12→ 1813
If they lose-12→ 1789
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Caio BorralhoJeremy Horn
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Caio Borralho73%
Jeremy Horn 27%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Caio Borralho a 73% favorite over Jeremy Horn in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeremy Horn's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1789 vs 1801), separated by just 12 points.
Caio Borralho finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Horn 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.