Caio Borralho vs Makhmud Muradov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record30-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
75"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
The Fighting Nerds· 1712 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAnkos MMA· 1671 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Caio Borralho is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Makhmud Muradov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1803
If they lose-18→ 1771
If they win+14→ 1750
If they lose-10→ 1726
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Caio BorralhoMakhmud Muradov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Caio Borralho61%
Makhmud Muradov 39%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Caio Borralho a 61% favorite over Makhmud Muradov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Caio Borralho holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1789 to 1736, a 53-point edge.
Makhmud Muradov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Caio Borralho finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Makhmud Muradov 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.