Combat Edge Intelligence

Caio Borralho vs Makhmud Muradov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-2-0Record28-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
75"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
The Fighting NerdsTeamAnkos MMA

What's at stake

Caio Borralho is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Makhmud Muradov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Caio BorralhoNow 1789
If they win+13→ 1802
If they lose-19→ 1770
Makhmud MuradovNow 1723
If they win+14→ 1737
If they lose-10→ 1713

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.44
Sig. strikes / min
4.21
56%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.57
60%
Strike defense
61%
1.28
Takedown avg.
3.03
48%
Takedown accuracy
67%
77%
Takedown defense
78%
0.43
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Caio BorralhoMakhmud Muradov
1700175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
18 (64%)
4 (22%)
Submission
3 (11%)
9 (50%)
Decision
7 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Caio Borralho73%
Makhmud Muradov 27%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Caio Borralho a 73% favorite over Makhmud Muradov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Caio Borralho holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1789 to 1723, a 66-point edge.

Makhmud Muradov enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Caio Borralho finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Makhmud Muradov 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.