Caio Machado vs Piotr Chudzik
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-1Record3-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height5'11"
78"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight204 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1589
If they lose-12→ 1565
If they win+24→ 1608
If they lose-24→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Caio MachadoPiotr Chudzik
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Caio Machado and Piotr Chudzik within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1584), separated by just 7 points.
Piotr Chudzik enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Caio Machado finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Piotr Chudzik 100%.
Caio Machado carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.