Caio Machado vs Ruslan Gabaraev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-1Record7-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
78"Reach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1589
If they lose-12→ 1565
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Caio MachadoRuslan Gabaraev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Caio Machado and Ruslan Gabaraev within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1583), separated by just 6 points.
Caio Machado finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Gabaraev 29%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.