Caio Magalhaes vs Jhony Gregory
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-7-0Record11-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
73.00Reach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1650 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamDaniel Oliveira Methodology
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1579
If they lose-16→ 1547
If they win+16→ 1581
If they lose-16→ 1549
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Caio MagalhaesJhony Gregory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Caio Magalhaes58%
Jhony Gregory 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Caio Magalhaes a 58% favorite over Jhony Gregory in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jhony Gregory's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1565), separated by just 2 points.
Caio Magalhaes enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Caio Magalhaes finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Jhony Gregory 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.