Caio Magalhaes vs Luke Zachrich
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-7-0Record14-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
73.00ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1650 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamRonin Training Center
What's at stake
Luke Zachrich is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Caio Magalhaes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1583
If they lose-12→ 1551
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-20→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Caio MagalhaesLuke Zachrich
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Caio Magalhaes60%
Luke Zachrich 40%Elo baseline: 39%
The Combat Edge model makes Caio Magalhaes a 60% favorite over Luke Zachrich in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luke Zachrich's way (39%).
Luke Zachrich holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1563, a 81-point edge.
Caio Magalhaes enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Caio Magalhaes finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Luke Zachrich 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.