AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Caio Magalhaes vs Nick Ring

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Nick Ring
ca

Nick Ring

“The Promise”

14-4-0MiddleweightHKF

1656Good

Tale of the tape

10-7-0Record14-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
73.00ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1650 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamChampion's Creed MMA· 1641 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Nick Ring is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Caio Magalhaes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Caio MagalhaesNow 1563
If they win+20→ 1583
If they lose-12→ 1551
Nick RingNow 1656
If they win+12→ 1668
If they lose-20→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.27
Sig. strikes / min
3.52
40%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.48
56%
Strike defense
63%
1.05
Takedown avg.
1.36
15%
Takedown accuracy
36%
58%
Takedown defense
52%
1.58
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

Caio MagalhaesNick Ring
15501600165017002013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
4 (40%)
Submission
6 (43%)
3 (30%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Caio Magalhaes54%
Nick Ring 46%Elo baseline: 37%

The Combat Edge model makes Caio Magalhaes a 54% favorite over Nick Ring in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Ring's way (37%).

Nick Ring holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1656 to 1563, a 93-point edge.

Caio Magalhaes enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Caio Magalhaes finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Nick Ring 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.