Combat Edge Intelligence

Caio Magalhaes vs Nick Ring

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Ring
ca

Nick Ring

“The Promise”

14-4-0MiddleweightHKF

1655Good

Tale of the tape

10-7-0Record14-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
73.00ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamChampion's Creed MMA

What's at stake

Nick Ring is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Caio Magalhaes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Caio MagalhaesNow 1545
If they win+31→ 1576
If they lose-17→ 1528
Nick RingNow 1655
If they win+11→ 1666
If they lose-21→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1649 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.27
Sig. strikes / min
3.52
40%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.48
56%
Strike defense
63%
1.05
Takedown avg.
1.36
15%
Takedown accuracy
36%
58%
Takedown defense
52%
1.58
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

Caio MagalhaesNick Ring
15501600165017002013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
4 (40%)
Submission
6 (43%)
3 (30%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Nick Ring60%
Caio Magalhaes 40%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Nick Ring a 60% favorite over Caio Magalhaes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Nick Ring holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1655 to 1545, a 110-point edge.

Caio Magalhaes enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Caio Magalhaes finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Nick Ring 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.