Combat Edge Intelligence

Cal Worsham vs Matheus Scheffel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-10-0Record17-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
230 lbsWeight262 lbs
Worsham Team XTeamCM System

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cal WorshamNow 1507
If they win+17→ 1524
If they lose-15→ 1492
Matheus ScheffelNow 1521
If they win+12→ 1533
If they lose-12→ 1509

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cal WorshamMatheus Scheffel
145015001550160020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (92%)
KO/TKO
12 (71%)
1 (8%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Cal Worsham and Matheus Scheffel within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1507 vs 1521), separated by just 14 points.

Cal Worsham enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Cal Worsham finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Scheffel 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.