Cal Worsham vs Matheus Scheffel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-10-0Record17-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
230 lbsWeight262 lbs
Worsham Team XTeamCM System· 1632 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Cal Worsham carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1524
If they lose-15→ 1492
If they win+11→ 1535
If they lose-13→ 1511
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cal WorshamMatheus Scheffel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Cal Worsham and Matheus Scheffel within a point of even.
Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1524 to 1507, a 17-point edge.
Cal Worsham enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Cal Worsham finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Scheffel 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.