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Combat Edge Intelligence

Cal Worsham vs Zane Frazier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-10-0Record4-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'6"
TBDReachTBD
230 lbsWeight230 lbs
Worsham Team XTeam

What's at stake

Cal Worsham is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Zane Frazier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cal WorshamNow 1507
If they win+11→ 1518
If they lose-21→ 1486
Zane FrazierNow 1388
If they win+21→ 1409
If they lose-11→ 1377

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Cal WorshamZane Frazier
1400145015002006200720082009201020112012

Win method breakdown

12 (92%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
1 (8%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Cal Worsham61%
Zane Frazier 39%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Cal Worsham a 61% favorite over Zane Frazier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Cal Worsham holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1507 to 1388, a 119-point edge.

Cal Worsham enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Cal Worsham finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Zane Frazier 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.