Combat Edge Intelligence

Cale Yarbrough vs Hojat Khajevand

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record10-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
203 lbsWeight186 lbs
Hardcore GymTeamFightclub Freiburg

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cale YarbroughNow 1580
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
Hojat KhajevandNow 1582
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.16
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
27%
Strike accuracy
TBD
10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
72%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cale YarbroughHojat Khajevand
150015501600200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
2 (25%)
Submission
4 (40%)
1 (13%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Hojat Khajevand60%
Cale Yarbrough 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hojat Khajevand a 60% favorite over Cale Yarbrough in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1582), separated by just 2 points.

Hojat Khajevand enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cale Yarbrough finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Hojat Khajevand 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.