Cale Yarbrough vs Julian Marquez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record9-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach72"
203 lbsWeight185 lbs
Hardcore GymTeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cale YarbroughJulian Marquez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Julian Marquez65%
Cale Yarbrough 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Julian Marquez a 65% favorite over Cale Yarbrough in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cale Yarbrough's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1577), separated by just 3 points.
Julian Marquez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Cale Yarbrough finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Julian Marquez 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.