Cale Yarbrough vs Tim Credeur
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record12-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
203 lbsWeight185 lbs
Hardcore GymTeamGladiators Academy
What's at stake
Tim Credeur is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Cale Yarbrough carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1599
If they lose-13→ 1567
If they win+13→ 1655
If they lose-19→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cale YarbroughTim Credeur
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tim Credeur53%
Cale Yarbrough 47%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Tim Credeur a 53% favorite over Cale Yarbrough in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Tim Credeur holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1642 to 1580, a 62-point edge.
Tim Credeur enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cale Yarbrough finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Tim Credeur 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.