Caleb Woodside vs Naoyuki Kotani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-0-0Record37-19-7
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Wolves' Den Training CenterTeamRodeo Style
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1618
If they lose-24→ 1570
If they win+12→ 1606
If they lose-12→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1473 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Caleb WoodsideNaoyuki Kotani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Caleb Woodside54%
Naoyuki Kotani 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Caleb Woodside a 54% favorite over Naoyuki Kotani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1594), separated by just 0 points.
Caleb Woodside enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Naoyuki Kotani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Caleb Woodside finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Naoyuki Kotani 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.