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Combat Edge Intelligence

Calen Born vs Zach Scroggin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record7-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'3"
39,0"Reach74"
168 lbsWeight183 lbs
Chute Boxe Kansas CityTeamMarathon MMA· 1645 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Calen BornNow 1622
If they win+24→ 1646
If they lose-24→ 1598
Zach ScrogginNow 1623
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.40
Not available
Strike accuracy
38%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.80
Not available
Strike defense
69%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Calen BornZach Scroggin
15001550160016502018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
4 (57%)
Submission
2 (29%)
1 (14%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Zach Scroggin57%
Calen Born 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Zach Scroggin a 57% favorite over Calen Born in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1623), separated by just 1 points.

Calen Born finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Zach Scroggin 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.