Combat Edge Intelligence

Calen Born vs Zach Scroggin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record7-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'3"
39,0"Reach74"
168 lbsWeight183 lbs
Chute Boxe Kansas CityTeamMarathon MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Calen BornNow 1622
If they win+24→ 1646
If they lose-24→ 1598
Zach ScrogginNow 1623
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
2.40
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.80
TBD
Strike defense
69%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Calen BornZach Scroggin
15001550160016502018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
4 (57%)
Submission
2 (29%)
1 (14%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Calen Born and Zach Scroggin within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1623), separated by just 1 points.

Calen Born finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Zach Scroggin 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.