Combat Edge Intelligence

Callan Potter vs Maki Pitolo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Maki Pitolo
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Maki Pitolo

“Coconut Bombz”

15-12-0Light HeavyweightTUFF

1546Average

Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record15-12-0
LightweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height5'9"
41,0"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight195 lbs
Renegade MMATeamWest Oahu MMA

What's at stake

Callan Potter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Maki Pitolo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Callan PotterNow 1629
If they win+9→ 1638
If they lose-15→ 1614
Maki PitoloNow 1546
If they win+20→ 1566
If they lose-12→ 1534

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.99
Sig. strikes / min
4.10
30%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.93
46%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
2.24
TBD
Takedown accuracy
53%
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Callan PotterMaki Pitolo
155016001650201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
10 (56%)
Submission
3 (20%)
2 (11%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Callan Potter60%
Maki Pitolo 40%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Callan Potter a 60% favorite over Maki Pitolo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Callan Potter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1629 to 1546, a 83-point edge.

Maki Pitolo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Callan Potter finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Maki Pitolo 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.