Callum Connor vs Johnny Case
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record30-10-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73"Reach72,5"
156 lbsWeight159 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1664
If they lose-24→ 1616
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Callum ConnorJohnny Case
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Johnny Case60%
Callum Connor 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Case a 60% favorite over Callum Connor in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Callum Connor's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1640), separated by just 0 points.
Callum Connor finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Case 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.