Callum Haughian vs Corey Hill
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record6-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'4"
-ReachTBD
149 lbsWeight168 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamKO Evolution
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1543
If they lose-24→ 1495
If they win+16→ 1538
If they lose-16→ 1506
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1487 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Callum HaughianCorey Hill
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Callum Haughian75%
Corey Hill 25%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Callum Haughian a 75% favorite over Corey Hill in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Corey Hill's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1519 vs 1522), separated by just 3 points.
Corey Hill enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Corey Hill 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.