Combat Edge Intelligence

Callum Haughian vs Daisuke Sugie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record10-8-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
149 lbsWeight154 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamAlive

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Callum HaughianNow 1519
If they win+23→ 1542
If they lose-25→ 1494
Daisuke SugieNow 1510
If they win+16→ 1526
If they lose-16→ 1494

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1487 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Callum HaughianDaisuke Sugie
1500155020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Submission
4 (40%)
1 (50%)
Decision
6 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Callum Haughian63%
Daisuke Sugie 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Callum Haughian a 63% favorite over Daisuke Sugie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1519 vs 1510), separated by just 9 points.

Daisuke Sugie 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.