Combat Edge Intelligence

Callum Haughian vs Garrett Gross

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Garrett Gross
us

Garrett Gross

“Glory to God”

12-11-0LightweightAFS

1518Average

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record12-11-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
149 lbsWeight155 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamSabens Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Callum HaughianNow 1519
If they win+24→ 1543
If they lose-24→ 1495
Garrett GrossNow 1518
If they win+16→ 1534
If they lose-16→ 1502

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1487 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.39
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.67
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
52%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Callum HaughianGarrett Gross
150015502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
1 (50%)
Submission
2 (17%)
1 (50%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Callum Haughian79%
Garrett Gross 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Callum Haughian a 79% favorite over Garrett Gross in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1519 vs 1518), separated by just 1 points.

Garrett Gross 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.