Combat Edge Intelligence

Callum Haughian vs Luke Caudillo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record17-17-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
149 lbsWeight155 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamGrudge Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Callum HaughianNow 1519
If they win+24→ 1543
If they lose-24→ 1495
Luke CaudilloNow 1512
If they win+12→ 1524
If they lose-12→ 1500

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1487 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.75
TBD
Strike accuracy
24%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.98
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
86%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Callum HaughianLuke Caudillo
150020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
12 (71%)
1 (50%)
Submission
1 (6%)
1 (50%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Callum Haughian79%
Luke Caudillo 21%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Callum Haughian a 79% favorite over Luke Caudillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1519 vs 1512), separated by just 7 points.

Luke Caudillo 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.