Combat Edge Intelligence

Callum Haughian vs Royler Gracie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record5-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
149 lbsWeight150 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamGracie Humaita

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Callum HaughianNow 1519
If they win+23→ 1542
If they lose-25→ 1494
Royler GracieNow 1511
If they win+16→ 1527
If they lose-16→ 1495

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1487 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Callum HaughianRoyler Gracie
1500201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Submission
4 (80%)
1 (50%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Callum Haughian76%
Royler Gracie 24%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Callum Haughian a 76% favorite over Royler Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1519 vs 1511), separated by just 8 points.

Royler Gracie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Royler Gracie 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.