Combat Edge Intelligence

Callum Haughian vs Tiequan Zhang

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record15-4-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
149 lbsWeight145 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamChina Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Callum HaughianNow 1519
If they win+23→ 1542
If they lose-25→ 1494
Tiequan ZhangNow 1511
If they win+25→ 1536
If they lose-23→ 1488

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1487 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.23
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.14
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.95
TBD
Takedown accuracy
58%
TBD
Takedown defense
75%
TBD
Submission avg.
3.35

Trajectory

Callum HaughianTiequan Zhang
1500155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
1 (50%)
Submission
11 (73%)
1 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Callum Haughian62%
Tiequan Zhang 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Callum Haughian a 62% favorite over Tiequan Zhang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1519 vs 1511), separated by just 8 points.

Tiequan Zhang enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Tiequan Zhang 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.