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Combat Edge Intelligence

Cally de Oliveira vs Josh Diekmann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Diekmann
us

Josh Diekmann

“The Freight Train”

15-8-0HeavyweightBFC

1550Solid

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record15-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
75.6"ReachTBD
243 lbsWeight228 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cally de OliveiraNow 1546
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522
Josh DiekmannNow 1550
If they win+16→ 1566
If they lose-16→ 1534

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Cally de OliveiraJosh Diekmann
155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (100%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (27%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Cally de Oliveira61%
Josh Diekmann 39%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Cally de Oliveira a 61% favorite over Josh Diekmann in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Diekmann's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1550), separated by just 4 points.

Josh Diekmann enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cally de Oliveira finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Josh Diekmann 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.