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Combat Edge Intelligence

Cally de Oliveira vs Scott Junk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Scott Junk
us

Scott Junk

“Punk Haole”

8-3-1HeavyweightHEAT

1551Solid

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record8-3-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
75.6"ReachTBD
243 lbsWeight265 lbs
Brazilian ThaiTeamMMA Development

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cally de OliveiraNow 1546
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522
Scott JunkNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.13
Not available
Strike accuracy
61%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.81
Not available
Strike defense
45%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cally de OliveiraScott Junk
150015502008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (100%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Cally de Oliveira55%
Scott Junk 45%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Cally de Oliveira a 55% favorite over Scott Junk in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Scott Junk's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1551), separated by just 5 points.

Cally de Oliveira finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Scott Junk 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.