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Combat Edge Intelligence

Calvin Kattar vs Chris Fishgold

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Calvin Kattar
us

Calvin Kattar

“The Boston Finisher”

23-10-0FeatherweightUFC

1697Good

Tale of the tape

23-10-0Record18-6-1
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
72"Reach68,0"
145 lbsWeight149 lbs
Carlos Neto BJJTeamNext Generation UK

What's at stake

Calvin Kattar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Chris Fishgold carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Calvin KattarNow 1697
If they win+10→ 1707
If they lose-14→ 1683
Chris FishgoldNow 1637
If they win+14→ 1651
If they lose-10→ 1627

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.60
Sig. strikes / min
2.01
39%
Strike accuracy
32%
6.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
54%
Strike defense
47%
0.36
Takedown avg.
2.59
29%
Takedown accuracy
46%
77%
Takedown defense
44%
0.07
Submission avg.
1.29

Trajectory

Calvin KattarChris Fishgold
165017001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

11 (48%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
2 (9%)
Submission
13 (72%)
10 (43%)
Decision
3 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Calvin Kattar76%
Chris Fishgold 24%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Calvin Kattar a 76% favorite over Chris Fishgold in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Calvin Kattar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1697 to 1637, a 60-point edge.

Calvin Kattar enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Chris Fishgold enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Calvin Kattar finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Chris Fishgold 83%.

Calvin Kattar carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.