Calvin Kattar vs Christian Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record13-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'7"
72"Reach71″
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Carlos Neto BJJTeamRoufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1709
If they lose-12→ 1685
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Calvin KattarChristian Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christian Rodriguez66%
Calvin Kattar 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Christian Rodriguez a 66% favorite over Calvin Kattar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Calvin Kattar's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1696), separated by just 1 points.
Calvin Kattar enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Calvin Kattar finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Christian Rodriguez 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.