Calvin Kattar vs Jeremy Stephens
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record29-23-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
72"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Carlos Neto BJJTeamAlliance MMA
What's at stake
Calvin Kattar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Stephens carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1704
If they lose-17→ 1680
If they win+17→ 1568
If they lose-7→ 1544
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Calvin KattarJeremy Stephens
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Calvin Kattar73%
Jeremy Stephens 27%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Calvin Kattar a 73% favorite over Jeremy Stephens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Calvin Kattar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1697 to 1551, a 146-point edge.
Calvin Kattar enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Calvin Kattar finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Stephens 72%.
Calvin Kattar and Jeremy Stephens share 1 common opponent: Zabit Magomedsharipov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.