Calvin Kattar vs Julian Erosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record31-13-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height6'1"
72"Reach74"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Carlos Neto BJJTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1709
If they lose-12→ 1685
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Calvin KattarJulian Erosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Calvin Kattar60%
Julian Erosa 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Calvin Kattar a 60% favorite over Julian Erosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1695), separated by just 2 points.
Calvin Kattar enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Julian Erosa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Calvin Kattar finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Julian Erosa 84%.
Julian Erosa carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.