Combat Edge Intelligence

Cam Nelson vs Karen Darabedyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record14-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renzo Gracie PEITeamMain Event Sports Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cam NelsonNow 1627
If they win+24→ 1651
If they lose-24→ 1603
Karen DarabedyanNow 1629
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1478 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.43
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.62
TBD
Strike defense
67%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.14
TBD
Takedown accuracy
75%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cam NelsonKaren Darabedyan
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
3 (43%)
Submission
5 (36%)
2 (29%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Cam Nelson70%
Karen Darabedyan 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cam Nelson a 70% favorite over Karen Darabedyan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Karen Darabedyan's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1629), separated by just 2 points.

Cam Nelson enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Karen Darabedyan enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Cam Nelson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Karen Darabedyan 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.