Combat Edge Intelligence

Cam Nelson vs Meng Ding

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Meng Ding
cn

Meng Ding

“Ruthless Assassin”

35-10-0WelterweightUFC

1686Good

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record35-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
-Reach73"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs

What's at stake

Meng Ding is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Cam Nelson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cam NelsonNow 1627
If they win+28→ 1655
If they lose-20→ 1607
Meng DingNow 1686
If they win+10→ 1696
If they lose-14→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1478 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.80
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.33
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cam NelsonMeng Ding
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
28 (80%)
3 (43%)
Submission
2 (6%)
2 (29%)
Decision
5 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Meng Ding60%
Cam Nelson 40%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Meng Ding a 60% favorite over Cam Nelson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Meng Ding holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1627, a 59-point edge.

Cam Nelson enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Meng Ding enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cam Nelson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Meng Ding 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.