Cam Nelson vs Meng Ding
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record35-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'2"
72"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
What's at stake
Meng Ding is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Cam Nelson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1681
If they lose-23→ 1633
If they win+11→ 1683
If they lose-13→ 1659
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1502 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cam NelsonMeng Ding
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Meng Ding66%
Cam Nelson 34%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Meng Ding a 66% favorite over Cam Nelson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Meng Ding holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1656, a 16-point edge.
Cam Nelson enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Meng Ding enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cam Nelson finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Meng Ding 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.