Combat Edge Intelligence

Cameron Church vs Kyle Prepolec

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record18-11-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach70"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
Escobar Training GroundsTeamMaximum Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cameron ChurchNow 1566
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542
Kyle PrepolecNow 1567
If they win+12→ 1579
If they lose-12→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1483 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4
Sig. strikes / min
3.25
40%
Strike accuracy
34%
4.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.69
50%
Strike defense
49%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
60%
Takedown defense
45%
1
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cameron ChurchKyle Prepolec
155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
1 (25%)
Submission
4 (22%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Cameron Church60%
Kyle Prepolec 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cameron Church a 60% favorite over Kyle Prepolec in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kyle Prepolec's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1567), separated by just 1 points.

Kyle Prepolec enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cameron Church finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Prepolec 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.