Cameron Church vs Nick Hrabec
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record12-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReach77.5"
155 lbsWeight153 lbs
Escobar Training GroundsTeamShaved Bears MMA· 1598 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1483 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cameron ChurchNick Hrabec
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nick Hrabec56%
Cameron Church 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nick Hrabec a 56% favorite over Cameron Church in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1567), separated by just 1 points.
Cameron Church finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nick Hrabec 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.