Cameron Graves vs Daisuke Sugie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-11-0Record10-8-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight154 lbs
Gracie Barra The Woodlands· 1522 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAlive
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1523
If they lose-12→ 1499
If they win+16→ 1527
If they lose-16→ 1495
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cameron GravesDaisuke Sugie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cameron Graves63%
Daisuke Sugie 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Cameron Graves a 63% favorite over Daisuke Sugie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1511 vs 1511), separated by just 0 points.
Cameron Graves enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Cameron Graves finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Daisuke Sugie 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.