Cameron Graves vs Hany Musleh
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Hany Musleh61%
Cameron Graves 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Hany Musleh a 61% favorite over Cameron Graves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1512 vs 1514), separated by just 2 points.
Cameron Graves enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Hany Musleh enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Cameron Graves finishes 57% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
14-11-0Record2-2-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"HeightTBD
-Reach-
150 lbsWeight162 lbs
Gracie Barra The Woodlands· 1523 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamSweat Box Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1524
If they lose-12→ 1500
If they win+24→ 1538
If they lose-24→ 1490
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cameron GravesHany Musleh