Cameron Graves vs Marcos Mariano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-11-0Record7-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gracie Barra The Woodlands· 1522 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamKiller Bees
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1523
If they lose-12→ 1499
If they win+16→ 1525
If they lose-16→ 1493
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cameron GravesMarcos Mariano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cameron Graves55%
Marcos Mariano 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Cameron Graves a 55% favorite over Marcos Mariano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1511 vs 1509), separated by just 2 points.
Cameron Graves enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Cameron Graves finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Mariano 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.