Cameron Olson vs Fábio Maldonado
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record28-18-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
205 lbsWeight227 lbs
RoufusportTeamTeam Maldonado
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
If they win+12→ 1575
If they lose-12→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cameron OlsonFábio Maldonado
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cameron Olson70%
Fábio Maldonado 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Cameron Olson a 70% favorite over Fábio Maldonado in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fábio Maldonado's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1563), separated by just 1 points.
Cameron Olson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Fábio Maldonado enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cameron Olson finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Fábio Maldonado 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.