Combat Edge Intelligence

Cameron Saaiman vs Payton Talbott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record11-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'10"
67"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team CITTeamReno Academy of Combat

What's at stake

Payton Talbott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Cameron Saaiman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cameron SaaimanNow 1646
If they win+20→ 1666
If they lose-12→ 1634
Payton TalbottNow 1742
If they win+12→ 1754
If they lose-20→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.30
Sig. strikes / min
6.05
47%
Strike accuracy
55%
4.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
52%
Strike defense
46%
0.89
Takedown avg.
0.24
29%
Takedown accuracy
25%
47%
Takedown defense
77%
0.67
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Cameron SaaimanPayton Talbott
1600165017001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
1 (11%)
Submission
1 (9%)
2 (22%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Payton Talbott73%
Cameron Saaiman 27%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Payton Talbott a 73% favorite over Cameron Saaiman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Payton Talbott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1742 to 1646, a 96-point edge.

Cameron Saaiman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Payton Talbott enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Cameron Saaiman finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Payton Talbott 73%.

Payton Talbott carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.