Cameron Saaiman vs Payton Talbott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record12-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'10"
67"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team CIT· 1723 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamReno Academy of Combat
What's at stake
Payton Talbott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Cameron Saaiman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1666
If they lose-11→ 1634
If they win+11→ 1772
If they lose-21→ 1740
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cameron SaaimanPayton Talbott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Payton Talbott84%
Cameron Saaiman 16%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Payton Talbott a 84% favorite over Cameron Saaiman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Payton Talbott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1761 to 1645, a 116-point edge.
Cameron Saaiman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Payton Talbott enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Cameron Saaiman finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Payton Talbott 75%.
Payton Talbott carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.