Cameron Smotherman vs Jake Hadley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record12-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'7"
69"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Metro Fight ClubTeamTeam Fearless
What's at stake
Jake Hadley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Cameron Smotherman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1615
If they lose-14→ 1583
If they win+14→ 1654
If they lose-18→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cameron SmothermanJake Hadley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Hadley51%
Cameron Smotherman 49%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Hadley a 51% favorite over Cameron Smotherman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Jake Hadley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1640 to 1597, a 43-point edge.
Cameron Smotherman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jake Hadley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cameron Smotherman finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Jake Hadley 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.