Combat Edge Intelligence

Cameron Smotherman vs Johnny Eduardo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record28-13-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
69"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Metro Fight Club· 1615 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cameron SmothermanNow 1602
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
Johnny EduardoNow 1605
If they win+12→ 1617
If they lose-12→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.07
Sig. strikes / min
2.95
37%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.22
59%
Strike defense
63%
0
Takedown avg.
0.22
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
63%
Takedown defense
59%
0
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Cameron SmothermanJohnny Eduardo
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
10 (36%)
1 (8%)
Submission
11 (39%)
5 (42%)
Decision
7 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Cameron Smotherman66%
Johnny Eduardo 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cameron Smotherman a 66% favorite over Johnny Eduardo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Johnny Eduardo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1605), separated by just 3 points.

Cameron Smotherman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Johnny Eduardo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cameron Smotherman finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Eduardo 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.