Cameron Smotherman vs Motonobu Tezuka
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record30-15-6
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
69"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Metro Fight Club· 1615 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamSecret Base Dominate
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
If they win+12→ 1614
If they lose-12→ 1590
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cameron SmothermanMotonobu Tezuka
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cameron Smotherman66%
Motonobu Tezuka 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Cameron Smotherman a 66% favorite over Motonobu Tezuka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1602), separated by just 0 points.
Cameron Smotherman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Motonobu Tezuka enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cameron Smotherman finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Motonobu Tezuka 47%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.