Combat Edge Intelligence

Cameron Smotherman vs Ricky Simón

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record22-7-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
69"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Metro Fight ClubTeamAmerican Top Team Portland

What's at stake

Ricky Simón is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Cameron Smotherman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cameron SmothermanNow 1597
If they win+22→ 1619
If they lose-10→ 1587
Ricky SimónNow 1734
If they win+7→ 1741
If they lose-17→ 1717

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.07
Sig. strikes / min
3.04
37%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
59%
Strike defense
61%
0
Takedown avg.
4.66
TBD
Takedown accuracy
42%
63%
Takedown defense
77%
0
Submission avg.
0.28

Trajectory

Cameron SmothermanRicky Simón
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
1 (8%)
Submission
4 (18%)
5 (42%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricky Simón75%
Cameron Smotherman 25%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricky Simón a 75% favorite over Cameron Smotherman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Ricky Simón holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1597, a 137-point edge.

Cameron Smotherman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cameron Smotherman finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Simón 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.