Cameron Smotherman vs Ricky Simón
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record22-7-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
69"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Metro Fight Club· 1615 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team Portland· 1659 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Ricky Simón is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Cameron Smotherman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1624
If they lose-10→ 1592
If they win+8→ 1743
If they lose-16→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cameron SmothermanRicky Simón
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ricky Simón67%
Cameron Smotherman 33%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Ricky Simón a 67% favorite over Cameron Smotherman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Ricky Simón holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1735 to 1602, a 133-point edge.
Cameron Smotherman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cameron Smotherman finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Simón 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.