Combat Edge Intelligence

Cameron Smotherman vs Ricky Turcios

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record12-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
69"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Metro Fight ClubTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cameron SmothermanNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Ricky TurciosNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.07
Sig. strikes / min
4.73
37%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.72
59%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
0.91
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
63%
Takedown defense
44%
0
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Cameron SmothermanRicky Turcios
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
1 (8%)
Submission
1 (8%)
5 (42%)
Decision
8 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Cameron Smotherman and Ricky Turcios within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1592), separated by just 5 points.

Cameron Smotherman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ricky Turcios enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cameron Smotherman finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Turcios 33%.

Ricky Turcios carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.