Combat Edge Intelligence

Cameron Smotherman vs Serhiy Sidey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record12-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'10"
69"Reach72"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Metro Fight ClubTeamBurlington Training Centre

What's at stake

Serhiy Sidey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Cameron Smotherman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cameron SmothermanNow 1597
If they win+19→ 1616
If they lose-13→ 1584
Serhiy SideyNow 1665
If they win+13→ 1678
If they lose-19→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.07
Sig. strikes / min
4.87
37%
Strike accuracy
39%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.44
59%
Strike defense
53%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
63%
Takedown defense
20%
0
Submission avg.
1.39

Trajectory

Cameron SmothermanSerhiy Sidey
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
1 (8%)
Submission
1 (8%)
5 (42%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Serhiy Sidey52%
Cameron Smotherman 48%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Serhiy Sidey a 52% favorite over Cameron Smotherman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Serhiy Sidey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1597, a 68-point edge.

Cameron Smotherman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Serhiy Sidey enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Cameron Smotherman finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Serhiy Sidey 67%.

Serhiy Sidey carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.