Cameron Smotherman vs Serhiy Sidey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Serhiy Sidey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Cameron Smotherman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Cameron Smotherman a 64% favorite over Serhiy Sidey in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Serhiy Sidey's way (41%).
Serhiy Sidey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1666 to 1602, a 64-point edge.
Cameron Smotherman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Serhiy Sidey enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Cameron Smotherman finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Serhiy Sidey 67%.
Serhiy Sidey carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.